As of late July 2025, 130,981 tech workers have lost their jobs across 434 layoff events. In the first six months alone, 77,999 tech job losses were directly attributed to AI. But here's the twist: workers with AI skills now earn 56% more than their peers. Welcome to the great AI labor reshuffling.

The 2025 Layoff Numbers

According to layoff tracking data:

  • 130,981 tech workers laid off through late July 2025
  • 434 layoff events across the tech sector
  • 89,251 job cuts in the first seven months - a 36% increase from 65,863 in the same period of 2024
  • 77,999 job losses directly attributed to AI in H1 2025
  • 427.3 layoffs per day attributed to AI on average

Major Company Layoffs

Microsoft

Microsoft confirmed plans to cut 9,000 roles, mainly in gaming and cloud divisions. Total 2025 cuts exceed 15,000 as part of a push to "simplify operations and invest heavily in AI."

IBM

IBM laid off 8,000 employees as AI agents took over their HR department - a stark example of AI directly replacing human workers.

Bumble

Dating app Bumble announced it would lay off 30% of its global workforce, explicitly "realigning toward AI-powered product development."

Entry-Level Workers Hit Hardest

According to a Stanford working paper by economists Erik Brynjolfsson, Bharat Chandar, and Ruyu Chen:

"Early-career employees in fields most exposed to AI have experienced a 13% drop in employment since 2022."

The impact on specific roles:

  • Software engineering entry-level: Down ~20% between late 2022 and July 2025
  • Customer service entry-level: Down ~20% in the same period

This is significant: AI isn't just eliminating jobs - it's eliminating the entry points that traditionally led to career advancement.

The MIT Study: 11.7% of US Jobs at Risk

A new MIT study published in November 2025 estimates that current AI systems could already take over tasks tied to:

  • 11.7% of the U.S. labor market
  • ~151 million workers
  • ~$1.2 trillion in annual pay

Note: This is tasks that current AI can handle - not projections for future capabilities.

World Economic Forum Predictions

According to the WEF's 2025 Future of Jobs Report:

  • 41% of employers worldwide intend to reduce their workforce in the next five years due to AI
  • 30% of US jobs projected to be replaced by AI by 2030

The Other Side: AI Skills Premium

Here's where it gets interesting. According to PwC's 2025 analysis:

"Workers with AI skills now command a 56% wage premium compared to peers without AI skills, up from a 25% premium in 2024."

The gap is widening. Workers who can leverage AI are becoming dramatically more valuable, while those who can't are becoming more vulnerable.

The Nuanced View: Federal Reserve Analysis

The Federal Reserve Bank of New York's September 2025 analysis offers some nuance:

"Despite a significant increase in AI adoption across businesses, AI has not yet led to major job losses. Current AI implementation has more often resulted in employee retraining rather than layoffs."

However, the Fed warns that layoffs due to AI are "expected to increase, especially for workers with college degrees" - the exact demographic that traditionally felt insulated from automation.

Jobs Most at Risk

Based on current trends and research, roles with highest displacement risk:

Role Category Risk Level Why
Entry-level software development High AI code generation handles simple tasks
Basic customer service High AI agents resolve 70%+ of tickets
Data entry Very High Direct automation target
Content writing (basic) High AI generates acceptable first drafts
Translation High AI translation quality improving rapidly
HR administration High IBM example - AI agents took over HR

Jobs That Are Growing

While some roles decline, others are expanding:

  • AI/ML engineers: Still in high demand despite broader tech layoffs
  • AI prompt engineers: New role that didn't exist three years ago
  • AI ethics and governance: Growing as companies face regulatory pressure
  • AI trainers and evaluators: Humans needed to improve AI systems
  • Senior developers: AI assists but doesn't replace complex judgment
  • Creative directors: Guiding AI output rather than creating from scratch

How to Adapt: The AI Skills Playbook

1. Learn to Work With AI, Not Against It

The 56% wage premium goes to workers who amplify their capabilities with AI, not those who ignore it. Start using AI tools in your daily work:

  • ChatGPT, Claude, or Gemini for writing and research
  • GitHub Copilot or Cursor for coding
  • AI tools specific to your industry

2. Move Up the Complexity Ladder

AI handles simple, repetitive tasks well. It struggles with:

  • Complex judgment calls
  • Navigating ambiguous situations
  • Creative strategy
  • Human relationship management
  • Novel problem-solving

Position yourself in roles that require these higher-level skills.

3. Become an AI Amplified Professional

The most valuable workers aren't pure AI experts or pure domain experts - they're people who deeply understand their field AND can leverage AI to work faster and better.

4. Focus on Uniquely Human Skills

  • Emotional intelligence: AI can't build genuine relationships
  • Leadership: Teams still need human managers
  • Creative vision: AI executes, humans direct
  • Ethics and judgment: Critical thinking AI lacks

For Employers: The Responsibility

The Federal Reserve data suggests a path forward: retraining instead of replacement. Companies that invest in upskilling their workforce are seeing better outcomes than those that simply lay off and automate.

Consider:

  • AI training programs for existing employees
  • Gradual automation with redeployment plans
  • Creating new roles that combine human skills with AI tools
  • Transparency about AI's role in the organization

The Bottom Line

The numbers are stark: 130,981 tech layoffs, a 20% decline in entry-level positions, and MIT estimates that 11.7% of jobs are already replaceable by current AI.

But the picture isn't all doom: workers with AI skills command a 56% wage premium, new roles are emerging, and many companies are choosing retraining over replacement.

The key insight: AI isn't replacing "jobs" - it's replacing "tasks." Workers who can evolve their role to focus on tasks AI can't handle, while leveraging AI for tasks it can, will thrive. Those who don't adapt face real risk.

The future belongs to the AI-augmented professional.

Sources